Economic consensus has (grudgingly) accepted soft landing as the base case outcome and that the Fed has achieved its policy goals with no need for further rate hikes.

The Recession that Didn’t Come (So Far) – A Conversation with David Cervantes, Pinebrook Capital
In this episode, we discuss the economic and market environment with David Cervantes of Pinebrook Capital. David brings a broad market perspective having spent most of his career on Wall Street covering fixed income and cross-asset sales at Morgan … Read More

Hike in July and Say Good-Bye: July 2023 Market Commentary Summary
Markets interpreted the aftermath of the July FOMC as the final rate hike for this cycle, cementing expectations that the Fed would start cutting rates as early as the 2nd quarter of 2024.

What If Nothing Breaks?
Does the Fed have enough fiscal gas left in the tank to let nature take its course, bringing down inflation without crashing the economy by curtailing excess demand through higher unemployment?

Pay Now, Grow Later: 2023 Q2 Market Commentary Summary
Outsized gains from a handful of stocks, namely mega-cap technology and consumer growth stocks, are driving the broader indices.

Out of Breadth: May 2023 Market Commentary Summary
Outsized gains from a handful of stocks, namely mega-cap technology and consumer growth stocks, are driving the broader indices.

Investing for the Future – A Conversation with Scott Helfstein, Global X ETFs
In this episode, we focus on thematic investing with Scott Helfstein, Head of Thematic Solutions at Global X ETFs. Scott brings a unique multi-faceted perspective to the thematic landscape having previously served as an analyst at the Federal Reserve, … Read More

Hit the Ceiling: April 2023 Market Commentary Summary
The metaphorical Wall of Worry is transforming into a “Ceiling” of sorts as the global economy may have hit multiple ceilings.

Investors Flee for the Safety of Long Duration Assets: 2023 Q1 Market Commentary Summary
The first quarter of 2023 is now in the books and can be somewhat bluntly characterized by two extremes in investor sentiment: extreme highs for long duration assets (technology stocks trading at high valuations, long-term maturity debt securities, precious metals … Read More

So What Now? A Post-March FOMC Discussion with Ken Shinoda from DoubleLine
In this episode, we have the pleasure of speaking with Ken Shinoda, Chairman of the Structured Products Committee at DoubleLine and co-manager on the firm’s Total Return, Opportunistic Income, Income, Opportunistic MBS and Strategic MBS strategies. Ken will be … Read More